Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000628 0.000715 0.000807 0.000912 0.001028 0.001151 0.001291
2025-10-05 0.000509 0.000632 0.000771 0.000940 0.001137 0.001358 0.001624
2025-10-12 0.000441 0.000581 0.000747 0.000955 0.001208 0.001501 0.001867
2025-10-19 0.000378 0.000527 0.000709 0.000947 0.001245 0.001602 0.002058
2025-10-26 0.000329 0.000481 0.000675 0.000937 0.001274 0.001689 0.002230
2025-11-02 0.000295 0.000452 0.000658 0.000945 0.001323 0.001798 0.002430
2025-11-09 0.000264 0.000422 0.000637 0.000944 0.001358 0.001888 0.002607
2025-11-16 0.000228 0.000382 0.000599 0.000915 0.001353 0.001925 0.002714
2025-11-23 0.000200 0.000350 0.000567 0.000893 0.001354 0.001968 0.002829
2025-11-30 0.000180 0.000328 0.000549 0.000888 0.001378 0.002041 0.002983
2025-12-07 0.000163 0.000309 0.000534 0.000886 0.001404 0.002116 0.003142
2025-12-14 0.000146 0.000289 0.000514 0.000875 0.001416 0.002170 0.003272
2025-12-21 0.000129 0.000267 0.000491 0.000858 0.001420 0.002215 0.003391
2025-12-28 0.000122 0.000262 0.000494 0.000882 0.001484 0.002346 0.003634
2026-01-04 0.000115 0.000254 0.000492 0.000897 0.001535 0.002459 0.003854
2026-01-11 0.000104 0.000239 0.000477 0.000890 0.001550 0.002521 0.004001
2026-01-18 0.000093 0.000224 0.000461 0.000880 0.001561 0.002576 0.004139
2026-01-25 0.000087 0.000216 0.000455 0.000887 0.001599 0.002670 0.004337
2026-02-01 0.000079 0.000206 0.000446 0.000886 0.001623 0.002745 0.004506
2026-02-08 0.000069 0.000189 0.000421 0.000859 0.001603 0.002752 0.004574
2026-02-15 0.000061 0.000174 0.000401 0.000838 0.001593 0.002772 0.004662
2026-02-22 0.000056 0.000165 0.000391 0.000834 0.001610 0.002834 0.004814
2026-03-01 0.000051 0.000158 0.000383 0.000832 0.001630 0.002902 0.004975